Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 14.421104 16.349196 18.387801 20.698597 23.239826 25.943893 29.033347
2025-02-02 12.543031 15.366116 18.534683 22.333241 26.740942 31.671709 37.581049
2025-02-09 10.756936 14.153125 18.177221 23.246687 29.408451 36.599186 45.565034
2025-02-16 8.982020 12.660834 17.250589 23.305728 30.983191 40.287573 52.298992
2025-02-23 7.390384 11.145242 16.069493 22.855901 31.804540 43.029209 57.978398
2025-03-02 6.187211 9.954397 15.133309 22.565225 32.720557 45.857074 63.840203
2025-03-09 5.331756 9.114773 14.547530 22.635560 34.045061 49.209586 70.471520
2025-03-16 4.540580 8.248337 13.807820 22.385189 34.859023 51.867739 76.253579
2025-03-23 4.199590 8.025506 13.970004 23.410910 37.479303 57.054557 85.615334
2025-03-30 3.729900 7.523386 13.642749 23.658120 38.960303 60.694284 92.967830
2025-04-06 3.135201 6.719206 12.746307 22.940114 38.940256 62.168921 97.309719
2025-04-13 2.588925 5.913837 11.751994 21.962933 38.430608 62.865138 100.514908
2025-04-20 2.421975 5.805913 11.942632 22.944112 41.040394 68.316799 110.900760
2025-04-27 2.417900 6.017066 12.707981 24.930198 45.335534 76.456000 125.517865
2025-05-04 2.285416 5.948481 12.962016 26.059679 48.309318 82.708232 137.552729
2025-05-11 2.038067 5.599861 12.663819 26.203655 49.675100 86.540572 146.084881
2025-05-18 1.753526 5.120262 12.063264 25.755810 50.017994 88.776590 152.249920
2025-05-25 1.523647 4.723124 11.575857 25.463486 50.586598 91.362989 159.005807
2025-06-01 1.360190 4.454566 11.313874 25.557958 51.803500 95.000737 167.470149
2025-06-08 1.185465 4.123560 10.883400 25.291683 52.360909 97.572340 174.317476
2025-06-15 1.140322 4.127279 11.168267 26.430098 55.461385 104.403841 188.101728
2025-06-22 1.034851 3.945484 11.025613 26.706678 57.011101 108.706285 197.943669
2025-06-29 0.871263 3.561104 10.381188 25.916419 56.558067 109.624588 202.329039